期刊
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW
卷 5, 期 6, 页码 840-857出版社
OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1093/nsr/nwy046
关键词
El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO); diversity; teleconnections; climate impacts; ENSO projection
资金
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [41690123, 41690120]
- National Key Scientific Research Plan of China [2014CB953900]
- National Key Research and Development Program of China [2016YFA0602703]
- Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province [2017A030310571]
- '111-Plan' Project of China [B17049]
- Directorate For Geosciences [1505145] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
- Div Atmospheric & Geospace Sciences [1505145] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
Extensive research has improved our understanding and forecast of the occurrence, evolution and global impacts of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). However, ENSO changes as the global climate warms up and it exhibits different characteristics and climate impacts in the twenty-first century from the twentieth century. Climate models project that ENSO will also change in the warming future and have not reached an agreement about the flavor, as to the intensity and the frequency, of future ENSO conditions. This article presents the conventional view of ENSO properties, dynamics and teleconnections, and reviews the emerging understanding of the diversity and associated climate impacts of ENSO. It also reviews the results from investigations into the possible changes in ENSO under the future global-warming scenarios.
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