The dynamic relationships between world and domestic prices of rice under the regime of agricultural trade liberalization in Bangladesh

The article examines the dynamic relationship between the world and the domestic market price of rice for Bangladesh given agricultural trade liberalization. A Johansen multivariate cointegration test was used, followed by an error correction model. Results show that there exists a long-run unidirectional equilibrium relationship, meaning that the domestic prices adjust to the world prices but not vice versa. Our results highlight the dependence of the Bangladeshi rice market on the world rice market and underline the need for adequate policies which specifically address the issue of food security when world prices are very high. The goal of such policies should be to dampen or reduce domestic price volatility induced by the world market.