期刊
ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY
卷 52, 期 4, 页码 501-506出版社
WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/uog.19111
关键词
Bayes' theorem; mean arterial pressure; placental growth factor; pre-eclampsia; pyramid of pregnancy care; soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1; survival model; third-trimester screening; uterine artery Doppler
资金
- Fetal Medicine Foundation [1037116]
Objective To examine the performance of screening for pre-eclampsia (PE) at 35 -37 weeks' gestation by maternal factors and combinations of mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and serum soluble fins-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1). Methods This was a prospective observational study in women with singleton pregnancy attending for an ultrasound scan at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks as part of routine pregnancy care. Bayes' theorem was used to combine the prior distribution of gestational age at delivery with PE, obtained from maternal characteristics and medical history, with various combinations of biomarker multiples of the median (MoM) values to derive the patient-specific risks of delivery with PE. The performance of such screening was estimated. Results The study population of 13 350 pregnancies included 272 (2.0%) that subsequently developed PE. In pregnancies that developed PE, the MoM values of MAP, UtA-PI and sFlt-1 were increased and PlGF MoM was decreased. At a risk cut-off of 1 in 20, the proportion of the population stratified into high risk was about 10% of the total, and the proportion of cases of PE contained within this high-risk group was 28% with screening by maternal factors alone; the detection rate increased to 53% with the addition of MAP, 67% with the addition of MAP and PlGF and 70% with the addition of MAP, PlGF and sFlt-1. The performance of screening was not improved by the addition of UtA-PI. The performance of screening depended on the racial origin of the women; in screening by a combination of maternal factors, MAP, PIGF and sFlt-1 and use of the risk cut-off of 1 in 20, the detection rate and screen-positive rate were 66% and 9.5%, respectively, for Caucasian women and 88% and 18% for those of Afro-Caribbean racial origin. Conclusion Screening by maternal factors and biomarkers at 35-37 weeks' gestation can identify a high proportion of pregnancies that develop late PE. The performance of screening depends on the racial origin of the women. Copyright (C) 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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