4.6 Article

The global dynamics for a stochastic SIS epidemic model with isolation

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出版社

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.085

关键词

Stochastic SIQS epidemic model; Threshold value; Persistence in the mean; Extinction; Stationary distribution

资金

  1. Natural Science Foundation of Xinjiang [2016D03022]

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In this paper, we investigate the dynamical behavior for a stochastic SIS epidemic model with isolation which is as an important strategy for the elimination of infectious diseases. It is assumed that the stochastic effects manifest themselves mainly as fluctuation in the transmission coefficient, the death rate and the proportional coefficient of the isolation of infective. It is shown that the extinction and persistence in the mean of the model are determined by a threshold value R-0(S). That is, if R-0(S) < 1, then disease dies out with probability one, and if R-0(S) > 1, then the disease is stochastic persistent in the means with probability one. Furthermore, the existence of a unique stationary distribution is discussed, and the sufficient conditions are established by using the Lyapunov function method. Finally, some numerical examples are carried out to confirm the analytical results. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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