Incidence of type 2 diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia in metabolically healthy obese and non-obese

Background and aims: Metabolically healthy obese (MHO) individuals are devoid of many metabolic abnormalities, but how this condition is maintained over time remains debated. We assessed the prevalence of MHO over time and the incidence of hypertension (HTN), dyslipidemia, and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in MHO as compared with metabolically healthy non obese (MHNO). Methods and results: Prospective, population-based study including 3038 participants (49.9 +/- 9.9 years; 1753 women) free from metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular disease at baseline and examined after a follow-up of 5.6 years and 10.9 years on average. At each follow-up, prevalence of MHO, MHNO, metabolically unhealthy not obese (MUNO), and metabolically unhealthy obese (MUO), as well as of HTN, dyslipidemia, and T2DM, was calculated and stratified by sex, age group, and education. At baseline, 179 (5.7%) MHO participants were identified, of which 62 (34.6%) and 79 (44.1%) remained MHO at 5.6 and 10.9 years follow-up, respectively. At 5.6 years follow-up, MHO participants were more likely to develop low HDL or be on hypolipidemic medication [multivariableadjusted OR (95% CI): 1.56 (1.02-2.38)], to have dyslipidemia [1.94 (1.33-2.82)], and high triglycerides [2.07 (1.36-3.14)] than MHNO. At 10.9 years follow-up, MHO participants were significantly more likely to develop T2DM [3.44 (1.84-6.43)], dyslipidemia [1.64 (1.14-2.38)], and low HDL or be prescribed hypolipidemic medication [1.57 (1.08-2.27)] than MHNO. Conversely, no differences were found regarding hypertension. Conclusion: A considerable fraction of MHO individuals lose their status over time, and in metabolically healthy adults, obesity confers a higher risk of developing cardiovascular risk factors. (C) 2018 The Italian Society of Diabetology, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition, and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.