Periodontal Disease and Risks of Kidney Function Decline and Mortality in Older People: A Community-Based Cohort Study

Background: The association between periodontal disease and chronic kidney disease in older people is controversial, and evidence for a causal link between kidney function decline and subsequent mortality risk is limited. Study Design: Longitudinal, observational, community-based cohort study. Setting & Participants: Participants were citizens 65 years or older who received the Taipei City Government-sponsored Annual Elderly Health Examination Program during 2005 to 2010, including dental status assessment and biochemical examinations. Predictors: Participants with periodontal disease defined by the World Health Organization Community Periodontal Index of Treatment Need criteria. Outcomes: All-cause and cardiovascular mortality and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline >= 30% over 2 years. Results: Of 100,263 study participants, 13,749 (13.7%) had periodontal disease. In a mean follow-up of 3.8 years, all-cause and cardiovascular mortality rates in those with periodontal disease (11.5% and 2.6%, respectively) were higher compared with those without periodontal disease (6.7% and 1.6%, respectively). After adjustment for demographic characteristics, comorbid conditions, and biochemistry data, adjusted HRs for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were 1.34 (95% CI, 1.26-1.42) and 1.25 (95% CI, 1.13-1.41), respectively. The frequency of eGFR decline >= 30% over 1-, 2-, and 3-years' follow-up in those with periodontal disease was 1.8%, 3.7%, and 4.0%, respectively. In a logistic regression model, adjusted ORs of the detrimental effect of periodontal disease on 30% eGFR decline in participants over 1-, 2-, or 3-years' follow-up were 1.03 (95% CI, 0.85-1.25), 1.62 (95% CI, 1.41-1.87), and 1.59 (95% CI, 1.37-1.86), respectively. In subgroup analyses according to age, sex, and comorbid conditions, risks for eGFR decline and mortality remained consistent. Limitations: Results may not be generalizable to other non-Asian ethnic populations. Conclusions: The results indicate that periodontal disease is a risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and eGFR decline >= 30% over 2 to 3 years in older people. (C) 2015 by the National Kidney Foundation, Inc.