期刊
TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS & STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT
卷 26, 期 3, 页码 -出版社
ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/09537325.2013.850477
关键词
vacant technology forecasting; patent analysis; ensemble method; new hybrid Bayesian clustering
Vacant technology forecasting (VTF) is a technology forecasting approach to find technological needs for given industrial field in the future. It is important to know the future trend of developing technology for the R&D planning of a company and a country. In this paper, we propose a new Bayesian model for patent clustering. This is a VTF methodology based on patent data analysis. Our method is composed of Bayesian learning and ensemble method to construct the VTF model. To illustrate the practical way of the proposed methodology, we perform a case study of given technology domain using retrieved patent documents from patent databases in the world.
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