4.5 Article

Risk distribution of dangerous goods in logistics subsystems

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ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2018.03.013

关键词

Hazardous materials; Accident; Probability

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  1. Ministry of Science and Technological Development of Serbia [TR 36012]

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Using data available from the FACTS database for 19 dangerous goods, a sample of 9467 accidents realized between the years 1980 and 2015 has been formed. Accidents have been systemized qualitatively according to their consequences and location within logistics subsystems. The qualitative outcomes of consequences have three discrete states concerning injuries and/or fatalities: without consequences, with injuries (with at least one injury but without fatalities), and with fatalities (at least one fatality regardless of the number of injuries). The distribution of accidents within the logistical system is based on the elementary structure of logistics subsystems and has five discrete states: production, storage, reloading, transport, and use. For the calculation of referent risk within logistical subsystems, accident with fatalities has been adopted. The results obtained point to the significant influence of logistical subsystems on the distribution of the risk of accidents with fatalities for different dangerous goods.

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