4.4 Article

ADOLESCENT TIME PREFERENCES PREDICT LIFETIME OUTCOMES

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ECONOMIC JOURNAL
卷 124, 期 580, 页码 F739-F761

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OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12095

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This study investigates the relationship between time preferences and lifetime social and economic outcomes. We use a Swedish longitudinal data set that links information from a large survey on children's time preferences at age 13 to administrative registers spanning over five decades. Our results indicate a substantial adverse relationship between high discount rates and school performance, health, labour supply and lifetime income. Males and high-ability children gain significantly more from being future oriented. These discrepancies are largest regarding outcomes later in life. We also show that the relationship between time preferences and long-run outcomes operates through early human capital investments.

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