Analysis and mathematical modelling of the behaviour of Escherichia coli in the mascarpone cheese during cold storage

The aim of this work was to study the behaviour of E. coli in mascarpone cheese during storage at the temperatures ranging from 3 to 15 degrees C, as well as application of predictive microbiology to describe the experimental data. The Baranyi, Gompertz and logistic models were fitted at the stage of primary modelling. Although all applied primary models described the growth of micro-organisms accurately, the most accurate goodness of fit was obtained for the Gompertz model and the growth rates generated by this model were used for secondary modelling. The polynomial model predicted accurately the influence of temperature on the growth rate of E. coli, reaching the adjusted coefficient of linear regression 0.99. Generated predictive model that describes the growth of E. coli in mascarpone cheese constitutes a valuable tool in assessing the microbiological stability of the food product with similar physicochemical properties.