IMPACT OF BARYONIC PROCESSES ON WEAK-LENSING COSMOLOGY: POWER SPECTRUM, NONLOCAL STATISTICS, AND PARAMETER BIAS

We study the impact of baryonic physics on cosmological parameter estimation with weak-lensing surveys. We run a set of cosmological hydrodynamics simulations with different galaxy formation models. We then perform ray-tracing simulations through the total matter density field to generate 100 independent convergence maps with a field of view of 25 deg(2), and we use them to examine the ability of the following three lensing statistics as cosmological probes: power spectrum (PS), peak counts, and Minkowski functionals (MFs). For the upcoming wide-field observations, such as the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) survey with a sky coverage of 1400 deg(2), these three statistics provide tight constraints on the matter density, density fluctuation amplitude, and dark energy equation of state, but parameter bias is induced by baryonic processes such as gas cooling and stellar feedback. When we use PS, peak counts, and MFs, the magnitude of relative bias in the dark energy equation of state parameter w is at a level of, respectively, delta w similar to 0.017, 0.061, and 0.0011. For the HSC survey, these values are smaller than the statistical errors estimated from Fisher analysis. The bias could be significant when the statistical errors become small in future observations with a much larger survey area. We find that the bias is induced in different directions in the parameter space depending on the statistics employed. While the two-point statistic, i.e., PS, yields robust results against baryonic effects, the overall constraining power is weak compared with peak counts and MFs. On the other hand, using one of peak counts or MFs, or combined analysis with multiple statistics, results in a biased parameter estimate. The bias can be as large as 1 sigma for the HSC survey. and will be more significant for upcoming wider-area surveys. We suggest to use an optimized combination so that the baryonic effects on parameter estimation are mitigated. Such a calibrated combination can place stringent and robust constraints on cosmological parameters.