4.3 Article

Public debt and growth: Heterogeneity and non-linearity

期刊

JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
卷 97, 期 1, 页码 45-58

出版社

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2015.04.005

关键词

Economic growth; Public debt; Common factor model; Non-linearity

资金

  1. U.K. Department for International Development (DfID) [60925]

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We study the long-run relationship between public debt and growth in a large panel of countries. Our analysis builds on theoretical arguments and data considerations in modelling the debt-growth relationship as heterogeneous across countries. We investigate the debt-growth nexus adopting linear and non-linear specifications, employing novel methods and diagnostics from the time-series literature adapted for use in the panel We find some support for a negative relationship between public debt and long-run growth across countries, but no evidence for a similar, let alone common, debt threshold within countries. (C) 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

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