期刊
CURRENT CLIMATE CHANGE REPORTS
卷 1, 期 3, 页码 144-154出版社
SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-015-0016-4
关键词
Climate change; Adaptation; Heat; Mortality; Morbidity; Health
资金
- Virginia G. Piper Health Policy Informatics Initiative at Arizona State University
- National Science Foundation [BCS-1026865, EAR-1204774]
- Direct For Biological Sciences
- Division Of Environmental Biology [1026865] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
- Division Of Earth Sciences
- Directorate For Geosciences [1204774] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
There is near consensus in the scientific community that humans will experience higher future temperatures due to the ongoing accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The human response to this climatic change, particularly if accompanied by a surge in extreme heat events, is a key topic being addressed by scientists across many disciplines. In this article, we review recent (2012-2015) research on human health impacts of observed and projected increases in summer temperature. We find that studies based on projected changes in climate indicate substantial increases in heat-related mortality and morbidity in the future, while observational studies based on historical climate and health records show a decrease in negative impacts during recent warming. The discrepancy between the two groups of studies generally involves how well and how quickly humans can adapt to changes in climate via physiological, behavioral, infrastructural, and/or technological adaptation, and how such adaptation is quantified.
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