期刊
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
卷 182, 期 10, 页码 863-867出版社
OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC
DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwv193
关键词
breast cancer; relative risk; risk factor; standard deviation; strength of association
资金
- National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia [APP102434]
- US National Institutes of Health [UM1 CA164920, 5 R01 CA159868, UM1 CA167551-01A1, R01 CA168893]
- Seoul National University (Seoul, South Korea)
How can the strengths of risk factors, in the sense of how well they discriminate cases from controls, be compared when they are measured on different scales such as continuous, binary, and integer? Given that risk estimates take into account other fitted and design-related factors-and that is how risk gradients are interpreted-so should the presentation of risk gradients. Therefore, for each risk factor X-0, I propose using appropriate regression techniques to derive from appropriate population data the best fitting relationship between the mean of X-0 and all the other covariates fitted in the model or adjusted for by design (X-1, X-2,..., X-n). The odds per adjusted standard deviation (OPERA) presents the risk association for X-0 in terms of the change in risk per s = standard deviation of X-0 adjusted for X-1, X-2,..., X-n, rather than the unadjusted standard deviation of X-0 itself. If the increased risk is relative risk (RR)-fold over A adjusted standard deviations, then OPERA = exp[ln(RR)/A] = RRs. This unifying approach is illustrated by considering breast cancer and published risk estimates. OPERA estimates are by definition independent and can be used to compare the predictive strengths of risk factors across diseases and populations.
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