期刊
LONGITUDINAL AND LIFE COURSE STUDIES
卷 6, 期 4, 页码 420-434出版社
BRISTOL UNIV PRESS & POLICY PRESS
DOI: 10.14301/llcs.v6i4.322
关键词
ALSPAC; latent class analysis; trajectories; bias; three-step
资金
- The UK Medical Research Council [G1000726]
- Wellcome Trust [102215/2/13/2]
- University of Bristol
- University of Bristol [MC_UU_12013/5]
- MRC [MC_UU_12013/9] Funding Source: UKRI
- Medical Research Council [MC_PC_15018, MC_UU_12013/9] Funding Source: researchfish
Mixture modelling is a commonly used technique for describing longitudinal patterns of change, often with the aim of relating the resulting trajectory membership to a set of earlier risk factors. When determining these covariate effects, a three-step approach is often preferred as it is less computationally intensive and also avoids the situation where each new covariate can influence the measurement model, thus subtly changing the outcome under study. Recent simulation work has demonstrated that estimates obtained using three-step models are likely to be biased, particular when classification quality (entropy) is poor. Using both simulated data and empirical data from a large United Kingdom(UK)-based cohort study we contrast the performance of a range of commonly used three-step techniques. Bias in parameter estimates and their precision were determined and compared to new bias-adjusted three-step methods that have recently become available. The bias-adjusted three-step procedures were markedly less biased than the simpler three-step methods. Proportional Maximum Likelihood (ML), with its complex-sampling robust estimation, suffered from negligible bias across a range of values of entropy. Whilst entropy was related to bias for all methods considered, there was evidence that class-separation for each pairwise comparison may also play an important role. Under some circumstances a standard three-step method may provide unbiased covariate effects, however on the basis of these results we would recommend the use of bias-adjusted three-step estimation over these standard methods.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据