4.2 Article

What measures Chinese monetary policy?

期刊

JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE
卷 59, 期 -, 页码 263-286

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ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.07.009

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Monetary policy; VAR; Operating procedures; Exogenous (endogenous) components

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This paper models the PBC's operating procedures in a two-stage vector autoregression framework. We decompose changes in policy variables into exogenous and endogenous components in order to find a clean monetary policy indicator whose changes are mainly policy induced. Our main findings are twofold. First, the PBC's operating procedures have evolved over time; since about 2006, they have developed to a relatively stable regime. Second, its operating procedures are neither pure interest rate targeting nor pure reserves targeting, but a mixture. A set of indicators all contain information about the policy stance. Finally, we construct a new composite indicator of the overall policy stance. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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