期刊
HABITAT INTERNATIONAL
卷 51, 期 -, 页码 103-113出版社
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2015.09.007
关键词
China; Land use change; Regional access; Auto-logistic models; Urbanization
资金
- China Project in the School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge MA
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [71433008, 41271174]
- Chinese Academy of Sciences [KZZD-EW-06-04]
- National Key Technology RD Program [2012BAI32B06]
- Beijing Planning of Philosophy And Social Science [13CSC011]
In the recent past Beijing has experienced rapid development. This growth has been accompanied by many problems including traffic congestion and air pollution. Understanding what stimulates urban growth is important for sustainable development in the coming years. In this paper, we first estimate a binary auto-logistic model of land use change, using physical and socioeconomic characteristics of the location and its access to major centers within the city as predictors. We find that variables determining regional access, like time distance to the city center, the Central Business District (CBD), industrial centers, employment centers, and the transportation system, significantly impact urban land conversion. By using measures of access to predict land use change we believe that we can better understand the planning implications of urban growth not only in Beijing but other rapidly developing cities. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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