期刊
ACTA OCEANOLOGICA SINICA
卷 37, 期 3, 页码 69-72出版社
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s13131-018-1193-5
关键词
Sanchi collision; long-term prediction; oil spill
类别
资金
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [41506044]
- NSFC-Shandong Joint Fund for Marine Science Research Centers [U1606405]
- National Program on Global Change and Air-Sea Interaction [GASI-IPOVAI-05]
- International Cooperation Project on the China-Australia Research Centre for Maritime Engineering of Ministry of Science and Technology, China [2016YFE0101400]
- Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology through the Transparency Program of Pacific Ocean-South China Sea-Indian Ocean [2015ASKJ01]
The condensate and bunker oil leaked from the Sanchi collision would cause a persistent impact on marine ecosystems in the surrounding areas. The long-term prediction for the distribution of the oil-polluted water and the information for the most affected regions would provide valuable information for the oceanic environment protection and pollution assessment. Based on the operational forecast system developed by the First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, we precisely predicted the drifting path of the oil tanker Sanchi after its collision. Trajectories of virtual oil particles show that the oil leaked from the Sanchi after it sank is mainly transported to the northeastern part of the sink location, and quickly goes to the open ocean along with the Kuroshio. Risk probability analysis based on the outcomes from the operational forecast system for years 2009 to 2017 shows that the most affected area is at the northeast of the sink location.
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