期刊
ENVIRONMENT AND BEHAVIOR
卷 48, 期 8, 页码 991-1029出版社
SAGE PUBLICATIONS INC
DOI: 10.1177/0013916515578485
关键词
hurricane evacuation; statistical meta-analysis; actual evacuations; hypothetical scenarios; hazard warnings
资金
- National Science Foundation [SES-0838654, IIS-1212790]
- Div Of Information & Intelligent Systems
- Direct For Computer & Info Scie & Enginr [1540469] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
This statistical meta-analysis (SMA) examined 38 studies involving actual responses to hurricane warnings and 11 studies involving expected responses to hypothetical hurricane scenarios conducted since 1991. The results indicate official warnings, mobile home residence, risk area residence, observations of environmental (storm conditions) and social (other people's behavior) cues, and expectations of severe personal impacts, all have consistently significant effects on household evacuation. Other variablesespecially demographic variableshave weaker effects on evacuation, perhaps via indirect effects. Finally, the SMA also indicates that the effect sizes from actual hurricane evacuation studies are similar to those from studies of hypothetical hurricane scenarios for 10 of 17 variables that were examined. These results can be used to guide the design of hurricane evacuation transportation analyses and emergency managers' warning programs. They also suggest that laboratory and Internet experiments could be used to examine people's cognitive processing of different types of hurricane warning messages.
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