Decomposition and Decoupling Analysis of Life-Cycle Carbon Emission in China's Building Sector

With accelerating urbanization, building sector has been becoming more important source of China's total carbon emission. In this paper, we try to calculate the life-cycle carbon emission, analyze influencing factors of carbon emission, and assess the delinking index of carbon emission in China's building sector. The results show: (i) Total carbon emission in China's building industry increase from 984.69 million tons of CO2 in 2005 to 3753.98 million tons of CO2 in 2013. The average annual growth rate is 18.21% per year. Indirect carbon emission from building material consumption accounted to 96-99% of total carbon emission. (ii) The indirect emission intensity effect was leading contributor to change of carbon emission. The following was economic output effects, which always contributed to increase in carbon emission. Energy intensity effect and energy structure effect took negligible role to offset carbon emission. (iii) Delinking index show the status between carbon emission and economic output in China's building industry during 2005-2006 and 2007-2008 was weak decoupling; during 2006-2007 and during 2008-2010 was expansive decoupling; and during 2010-2013 was expansive negative decoupling.