Application of a systems pharmacology model for translational prediction of hERG-mediated QTc prolongation

Drug-induced QTc interval prolongation (Delta QTc) is a main surrogate for proarrhythmic risk assessment. A higher in vivo than in vitro potency for hERG-mediated QTc prolongation has been suggested. Also, in vivo between-species and patient populations' sensitivity to drug-induced QTc prolongation seems to differ. Here, a systems pharmacology model integrating preclinical in vitro (hERG binding) and in vivo (conscious dog Delta QTc) data of three hERG blockers (dofetilide, sotalol, moxifloxacin) was applied (1) to compare the operational efficacy of the three drugs in vivo and (2) to quantify dog-human differences in sensitivity to drug-induced QTc prolongation (for dofetilide only). Scaling parameters for translational in vivo extrapolation of drug effects were derived based on the assumption of system-specific myocardial ion channel densities and transduction of ion channel block: the operational efficacy (transduction of hERG block) in dogs was drug specific (1-19% hERG block corresponded to >= 10 msec Delta QTc). System-specific maximal achievable Delta QTc was estimated to 28% from baseline in both dog and human, while % hERG block leading to half-maximal effects was 58% lower in human, suggesting a higher contribution of hERG-mediated potassium current to cardiac repolarization. These results suggest that differences in sensitivity to drug-induced QTc prolongation may be well explained by drug-and system-specific differences in operational efficacy (transduction of hERG block), consistent with experimental reports. The proposed scaling approach may thus assist the translational risk assessment of QTc prolongation in different species and patient populations, if mediated by the hERG channel.