4.5 Article

Aerosols in the Pre-industrial Atmosphere

期刊

CURRENT CLIMATE CHANGE REPORTS
卷 3, 期 1, 页码 1-15

出版社

SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-017-0061-2

关键词

Aerosol; Climate; Pollution; Biosphere; Radiative forcing; Climate sensitivity

资金

  1. NERC GASSP project [NE/J024252/1]
  2. National Centre for Atmospheric Science
  3. European Union BACCHUS project [603445]
  4. CRESCENDO project [641816]
  5. Natural Environment Research Council
  6. Met Office
  7. Royal Society Wolfson Merit Award
  8. NERC [NE/J024252/1] Funding Source: UKRI
  9. Natural Environment Research Council [1230782, NE/J024252/1] Funding Source: researchfish

向作者/读者索取更多资源

Purpose of Review We assess the current understanding of the state and behaviour of aerosols under pre-industrial conditions and the importance for climate. Recent Findings Studies show that the magnitude of anthropogenic aerosol radiative forcing over the industrial period calculated by climate models is strongly affected by the abundance and properties of aerosols in the pre-industrial atmosphere. The low concentration of aerosol particles under relatively pristine conditions means that global mean cloud albedo may have been twice as sensitive to changes in natural aerosol emissions under preindustrial conditions compared to present-day conditions. Consequently, the discovery of new aerosol formation processes and revisions to aerosol emissions have large effects on simulated historical aerosol radiative forcing. Summary We review what is known about the microphysical, chemical, and radiative properties of aerosols in the pre-industrial atmosphere and the processes that control them. Aerosol properties were controlled by a combination of natural emissions, modification of the natural emissions by human activities such as land-use change, and anthropogenic emissions from biofuel combustion and early industrial processes. Although aerosol concentrations were lower in the pre-industrial atmosphere than today, model simulations show that relatively high aerosol concentrations could have been maintained over continental regions due to biogenically controlled new particle formation and wildfires. Despite the importance of preindustrial aerosols for historical climate change, the relevant processes and emissions are given relatively little consideration in climate models, and there have been very few attempts to evaluate them. Consequently, we have very low confidence in the ability of models to simulate the aerosol conditions that form the baseline for historical climate simulations. Nevertheless, it is clear that the 1850s should be regarded as an early industrial reference period, and the aerosol forcing calculated from this period is smaller than the forcing since 1750. Improvements in historical reconstructions of natural and early anthropogenic emissions, exploitation of new Earth system models, and a deeper understanding and evaluation of the controlling processes are key aspects to reducing uncertainties in future.

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