4.8 Article

A tipping point in refreezing accelerates mass loss of Greenland's glaciers and ice caps

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NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
卷 8, 期 -, 页码 -

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NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP
DOI: 10.1038/ncomms14730

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  1. Polar Programme of the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO/ALW)
  2. Netherlands Earth System Science Centre (NESSC)
  3. U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
  4. Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE)
  5. Danish Energy Agency's (DANCEA) program

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Melting of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) and its peripheral glaciers and ice caps (GICs) contributes about 43% to contemporary sea level rise. While patterns of GrIS mass loss are well studied, the spatial and temporal evolution of GICs mass loss and the acting processes have remained unclear. Here we use a novel, 1 km surface mass balance product, evaluated against in situ and remote sensing data, to identify 1997 (+/- 5 years) as a tipping point for GICs mass balance. That year marks the onset of a rapid deterioration in the capacity of the GICs firn to refreeze meltwater. Consequently, GICs runoff increases 65% faster than meltwater production, tripling the post-1997 mass loss to 36 +/- 16 Gt(-1), or similar to 14% of the Greenland total. In sharp contrast, the extensive inland firn of the GrIS retains most of its refreezing capacity for now, buffering 22% of the increased meltwater production. This underlines the very different response of the GICs and GrIS to atmospheric warming.

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