期刊
ACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION
卷 108, 期 -, 页码 234-244出版社
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2017.09.001
关键词
Bicycle level of traffic stress; Bicycle crash severities; Geospatial mapping; Mixed logit model
类别
资金
- Pacific Northwest Transportation Consortium (PacTrans) small project grant through the project Geospatial Analysis of Bicycle Network Level of Traffic Stress, Bicycle Mode Choice Behavior, and Bicycle Crashes for Risk Factor Identification
- Pacific Northwest Transportation Consortium (PacTrans) multi-institution project Bicycle Safety Analysis: Crowdsourcing Bicycle Travel Data to Estimate Risk Exposure and Create Safety Performance Functions
Transportation agencies need efficient methods to determine how to reduce bicycle accidents while promoting cycling activities and prioritizing safety improvement investments. Many studies have used standalone methods, such as level of traffic stress (LTS) and bicycle level of service (BLOS), to better understand bicycle mode share and network connectivity for a region. However, in most cases, other studies rely on crash severity models to explain what variables contribute to the severity of bicycle related crashes. This research uniquely correlates bicycle LTS with reported bicycle crash locations for four cities in New Hampshire through geospatial mapping. LTS measurements and crash locations are compared visually using a GIS framework. Next, a bicycle injury severity model, that incorporates LTS measurements, is created through a mixed logit modeling framework. Results of the visual analysis show some geospatial correlation between higher LTS roads and Injury type bicycle crashes. It was determined, statistically, that LTS has an effect on the severity level of bicycle crashes and high LTS can have varying effects on severity outcome. However, it is recommended that further analyses be conducted to better understand the statistical significance and effect of LTS on injury severity. As such, this research will validate the use of LTS as a proxy for safety risk regardless of the recorded bicycle crash history. This research will help identify the clustering patterns of bicycle crashes on high-risk corridors and, therefore, assist with bicycle route planning and policy making. This paper also suggests low-cost countermeasures or treatments that can be implemented to address high-risk areas. Specifically, with the goal of providing safer routes for cyclists, such countermeasures or treatments have the potential to substantially reduce the number of fatalities and severe injuries.
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