期刊
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART A-POLICY AND PRACTICE
卷 100, 期 -, 页码 264-282出版社
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2017.04.017
关键词
Bikesharing; Bus ridership; Difference-in-differences estimator; Natural experiment
资金
- US DOT Eisenhower Graduate Fellowship
- Metropolitan Transportation Authority
The objective of this research is to quantify the impact that bikesharing systems have on bus ridership. We exploit a natural experiment of the phased implementation of a bike sharing system to different areas of New York City. This allows us to use a difference-in-differences identification strategy. We divide bus routes into control and treatment groups based on if they are located in areas that received bikesharing infrastructure or not. We find a significant decrease in bus ridership on treated routes compared to control routes that coincides with the implementation of the bikesharing system in New York City. The results from our preferred model indicate that every thousand bikesharing docks along a bus route is associated with a 2.42% fall in daily unlinked bus trips on routes in Manhattan and Brooklyn. A second model that also controls for the expansion of bike lanes during this time suggests that the decrease in bus ridership attributable to bikesharing infrastructure alone may be smaller (a 1.69% fall in daily unlinked bus trips). Although the magnitude of the reduction is a small proportion of total bus trips, these findings indicate that either a large proportion of overall bikeshare members are substituting bikesharing for bus trips or that bikesharing may have impacted the travel behavior of non-members, such as private bicyclists. Understanding how bikesharing and public transit systems are interrelated is vital for planning a mutually reinforcing sustainable transport network. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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