4.7 Article

Impact of climate change on water resources of upper Kharun catchment in Chhattisgarh, India

期刊

JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
卷 13, 期 -, 页码 189-207

出版社

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2017.07.008

关键词

Soil and Water Assessment Tool; PRECIS regional climate projections; Climate change and water balance components

资金

  1. Foundation Fiat Panis
  2. Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
  3. Open Access Publishing Fund of Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

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Study region: The Upper Kharun Catchment (UKC) is one of the most important, economically sound and highly populated watersheds of Chhattisgarh state in India. The inhabitants strongly depend on monsoon and are severely prone to water stress. Study focus: This research aims to assess the impact of climate change on water balance components. New hydrological insights for the region: The station-level bias-corrected PRECIS (Providing REgional Climates for Impact Studies) projections generally show increasing trends for annual rainfall and temperature. Hydrological simulations, performed by SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool), indicate over-proportional runoff-rainfall and under-proportional percolation-rainfall relationships. Simulated annual discharge for 2020s will decrease by 2.9% on average (with a decrease of 25.9% for q1 to an increase by 23.6% for q14); for 2050s an average increase by 12.4% (17.6% decrease for q1 to 39.4% increase for q0); for 2080s an average increase of 39.5% (16.3% increase for q1 to an increase of 63.7% for q0). Respective ranges on percolation: for 2020s an average decrease by 0.8% (12.8% decrease for q1 to an increase of 8.7% for q14); for 2050s an average increase by 2.5% (10.3% decrease for q1 to 15.4% increase for q0); for 2080s an average increase by 7.5% (0.3% decrease for q1 to 13.7% increase for q0). These over-and under-proportional relationships indicate future enhancement of floods and question sufficiency of groundwater recharge.

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