期刊
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
卷 580, 期 -, 页码 787-796出版社
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.12.025
关键词
Land-use change; Spatial allocation; Integrated assessment
资金
- Research on Development of an Integrated Assessment Model incorporating Global-scale Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation [S-14-5]
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) KAKENHI [15K16164, 16K18177]
- climate change research program of the National Institute for Environmental Studies [PJ1]
- Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [15K16164, 16K18177] Funding Source: KAKEN
We developed a global land-use allocation model that can be linked to integrated assessment models (IAMs) with a coarser spatial resolution. Using the model, we performed a downscaling of the IAMB' regional aggregated land-use projections to obtain a spatial land-use distribution, which could subsequently be used by Earth system models for global environmental assessments of ecosystem services, food security, and climate policies. Here we describe the land-use allocation model, discuss the verification of the downscaling technique, and explain the influences of the downscaling on estimates of land-use Carbon emissions. A comparison of the emissions estimated with and without downscaling suggested that the land-use downscaling would help capture the spatial distribution of carbon stock density and regional heterogeneity of carbon emissions caused by cropland and pasture land expansion. (C) 2016 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
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