期刊
SAFETY SCIENCE
卷 96, 期 -, 页码 183-191出版社
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ssci.2017.03.015
关键词
LNG carrier; CREAM; Monte Carlo simulation; Fault tree analysis; Risk assessment
资金
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [51579203]
- China Scholarship Council
- Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [15H02271] Funding Source: KAKEN
Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) is a clean, efficient and economic energy, which is mainly transported by LNG carriers in the marine industry. Possible spilling of cryogenic LNG puts safety of crew in danger due to fire and explosion hazards. Taking into account various uncertainties, a modified fault tree model for LNG spill accident during LNG carriers' handling operations is constructed in this study. Human factor analysis is introduced with a goal to predict human errors in LNG carriers' handling operation. Finally, the results of the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) and Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) are combined, so that risks can be assessed using Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). Comparing the results of risk assessment with the traditional FTA and corresponding criterion set, an important reference for LNG carrier management is provided for administration. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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