期刊
REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
卷 18, 期 1, 页码 117-128出版社
SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-017-1104-x
关键词
Integrated assessment; Land-use change; Policy effects; Multi-agent systems
资金
- CarBioCial project of the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF)
- Brazilian Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel (CAPES, BEX) [10421/14-9]
- Food Security Center (FSC) of Hohenheim University
- Protestant Academic Foundation Villigst
The need to balance agricultural production and environmental protection shifted the focus of Brazilian land-use policy toward sustainable agriculture. In 2010, Brazil established preferential credit lines to finance investments into low-carbon integrated agricultural systems of crop, livestock and forestry. This article presents a simulation-based empirical assessment of integrated system adoption in the state of Mato Grosso, where highly mechanized soybean-cotton and soybean-maize double-crop systems currently prevail. We employ bioeconomic modeling to explicitly capture the heterogeneity of farm-level costs and benefits of adoption. By parameterizing and validating our simulations with both empirical and experimental data, we evaluate the effectiveness of the ABC Integration credit through indicators such as land-use change, adoption rates and budgetary costs of credit provision. Alternative scenarios reveal that specific credit conditions might speed up the diffusion of low-carbon agricultural systems in Mato Grosso.
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