Distribution patterns of tourism supply in Extremadura using geostatistical techniques (2004-2014)

The quick increase in the supply of accommodation in Extremadura has not been matched by a corresponding increase in the number of visitors and overnight stays, a fact that has led to a significant mismatch between supply and demand. The increase in the supply has distributed unevenly over the territory. Thus, this paper aims to determine the distribution patterns detected within the three major supply groups: hotel, extra-hotel and rural as well as their evolution. In order to do that, cluster and outlier analysis (LISA) in addition to hot and cold spots analysis (Getis-Ord GI*) have been used. Both techniques confirm that the changes observed in the supply of accommodation follow similar patterns and show that the spatial proximity is not spurious. All this corroborates the existence of an antagonistic tourism development in Extremadura.