期刊
PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
卷 284, 期 1853, 页码 -出版社
ROYAL SOC
DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2017.0412
关键词
climate change; wind; phenology; Tachycineta bicolor; breeding
资金
- Skaggs Foundation
- Alaska Conservation Foundation
- Swarthmore College
- EPSCoR Alaska
- AmeriCorps
- USFWS Connecting People with Nature programme
- Melinda Gray Ardia Environmental Foundation
- Arctic Audubon Society
- NSF [DEB-1242355, 1340024]
- Direct For Biological Sciences
- Division Of Environmental Biology [1340024] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
- Direct For Biological Sciences
- Division Of Environmental Biology [1242355] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
While the ecological effects of climate change have been widely observed, most efforts to document these impacts in terrestrial systems have concentrated on the impacts of temperature. We used tree swallow (Tachycineta bicolor) nest observations from two widely separated sites in central Alaska to examine the aspects of climate affecting breeding phenology at the northern extent of this species' range. We found that two measures of breeding phenology, annual lay and hatch dates, are more strongly predicted by windiness and precipitation than by temperature. At our longest-monitored site, breeding phenology has advanced at nearly twice the rate seen in more southern populations, and these changes correspond to long-term declines in windiness. Overall, adverse spring climate conditions known to negatively impact foraging success of swallows (wet, windy weather) appear to influence breeding phenology more than variation in temperature. Separate analyses show that short windy periods significantly delay initiation of individual clutches within years. While past reviews have emphasized that increasing variability in climate conditions may create physiological and ecological challenges for natural populations, we find that long-term reductions in inclement weather corresponded to earlier reproduction in one of our study populations. To better predict climate change impacts, ecologists need to more carefully test effects of multiple climate variables, including some, like windiness, that may be of paramount importance to some species, but have rarely been considered as strong drivers of ecological responses to climate alteration.
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