期刊
ENVIRONMENT AND DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
卷 23, 期 3, 页码 328-348出版社
CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1017/S1355770X17000444
关键词
Climate change; droughts; exposure; floods; global scale; poverty
资金
- Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery
- World Bank, under the work program on 'Poverty and Climate Change,' led by the Office of the Chief Economist of the Climate Change Group
- Earth2Observe, EU FP7 project [603608]
- VIDI grant for the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO) [016.161.324]
- ESRC [ES/K006576/1] Funding Source: UKRI
People living in poverty are particularly vulnerable to shocks, including those caused by natural disasters such as floods and droughts. This paper analyses household survey data and hydrological riverine flood and drought data for 52 countries to find out whether poor people are disproportionally exposed to floods and droughts, and how this exposure may change in a future climate. We find that poor people are often disproportionally exposed to droughts and floods, particularly in urban areas. This pattern does not change significantly under future climate scenarios, although the absolute number of people potentially exposed to floods or droughts can increase or decrease significantly, depending on the scenario and region. In particular, many countries in Africa show a disproportionally high exposure of poor people to floods and droughts. For these hotspots, implementing risk-sensitive land-use and development policies that protect poor people should be a priority.
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