3.8 Proceedings Paper

Predictions of Asteroid Hazard to the Earth for the 21st Century

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EIGHTH POLYAKHOV'S READING
卷 1959, 期 -, 页码 -

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AMER INST PHYSICS
DOI: 10.1063/1.5034615

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  1. Russian Foundation of Basic Research [15-02-04340]
  2. Saint Petersburg State University fundamental priority research program [6.37.341.2015]

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Early detection and investigation of possible collisions and close approaches of asteroids with the Earth are necessary to exept the asteroid-comet hazard. The difficulty of prediction of close approaches and collisions associated with resonant returns after encounters with the Earth due to loss of precision in these encounters. The main research object is asteroid Apophis (99942), for which we found many possible orbits of impacts associated with resonant returns. It is shown that the early orbit change of Apophis allows to avoid main impacts, associated with resonant returns. Such a change of the orbit, in principle, is feasible. We also study the possible impacts with the Ground asteroid 2015 RN35. We present 21 possible collisions in this century, including 7 collisions with large gaps presented in NASA website. The results of observations by the telescope ZA-320M at Pulkovo Observatory of the three near-Earth asteroids, namely, 7822, 20826, 68216, two of which 7822 and 68216 are potentially hazardous, are presented.

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