期刊
JOURNAL OF MONEY CREDIT AND BANKING
卷 50, 期 8, 页码 1827-1850出版社
WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12511
关键词
federal reserve; external instruments; monetary policy shocks
We assess the relationship between monetary policy, foreign exchange risk premia, and term premia including the period at the zero lower bound (ZLB). We estimate a structural vector autoregression including U.S. and foreign interest rates and exchange rates and identify monetary policy shocks through a method that uses high-frequency monetary policy surprises as the external instrument that achieves identification without using implausible restrictions. We split out effects of different types of monetary policy surprises that apply at the ZLB, including forward guidance and asset purchases. This allows us to measure the effects of policy shocks on expectations, and hence risk premia.
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