期刊
MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTERS IN SIMULATION
卷 131, 期 -, 页码 88-100出版社
ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2015.05.010
关键词
Artificial neural network; Energy forecasting; Photovoltaic system
In this paper an artificial neural network for photovoltaic plant energy forecasting is proposed and analyzed in terms of its sensitivity with respect to the input data sets. Furthermore, the accuracy of the method has been studied as a function of the training data sets and error definitions. The analysis is based on experimental activities carried out on a real photovoltaic power plant accompanied by clear sky model. In particular, this paper deals with the hourly energy prediction for all the daylight hours of the following day, based on 48 hours ahead weather forecast. This is very important due to the predictive features requested by smart grid application: renewable energy sources planning, in particular storage system sizing, and market of energy. (C) 2015 International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (IMACS). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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