4.0 Article

Parameter and quantile estimation for the generalized Pareto distribution in peaks over threshold framework

期刊

JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN STATISTICAL SOCIETY
卷 46, 期 4, 页码 487-501

出版社

KOREAN STATISTICAL SOC
DOI: 10.1016/j.jkss.2017.02.003

关键词

Generalized Pareto distribution; Peaks over threshold; Maximum likelihood estimator; Nonlinear least squares; Hill estimator

资金

  1. Ministry of Education of the Republic of Korea
  2. National Research Foundation of Korea [NRF-2015S1A5B6036244]
  3. National Research Foundation of Korea [2015S1A5B6036244] Funding Source: Korea Institute of Science & Technology Information (KISTI), National Science & Technology Information Service (NTIS)

向作者/读者索取更多资源

In this article, we consider six estimation methods for extreme value modeling and compare their performances, focusing on the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) in the peaks over threshold (POT) framework. Our goal is to identify the best method in various conditions via a thorough simulation study. In order to compare the estimators in the POT sense, we suggest proper strategies for some estimators originally not developed under the POT framework. The simulation results show that a nonlinear least squares (NLS) based estimator outperforms others in parameter estimation, but there is no clear winner in quantile estimation. For quantile estimation, NLS-based methods perform well even when the sample size is small and the Hill estimator comes to the front when the underlying distribution has a very heavy tail. Applications of EVT cover many different fields and researchers on each field may have their own experimental conditions or practical restrictions. We believe that our results would provide guidance on determining proper estimation method on future analysis. (C) 2017 The Korean Statistical Society. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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