期刊
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
卷 147, 期 -, 页码 72-82出版社
ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2019.07.002
关键词
Delphi; Review; Methodology; Judgment; Expert; Consensus
资金
- European Agency for Fundamental Rights
This paper provides a practical, systematic approach to the design and delivery of a Delphi survey. We prescribe a sequence of six steps to do with (i) setting up the Delphi process - including selecting respondents and generating a requisite number of focal issues, (ii) software/delivery choice, (iii) developing question items and response scales, (iv) providing feedback between a requisite number of Delphi rounds, (v) preventing and dealing with panellist drop out, and (vi) analysing and presenting the Delphi yield. At each step, the Delphi administrator has a range of choice options and we provide discussion of the pros and cons of each option - in order that the overall design and delivery of a particular Delphi survey is both well-founded and defensible.
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