4.7 Article

Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia

期刊

EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES
卷 25, 期 12, 页码 2281-2283

出版社

CENTERS DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION
DOI: 10.3201/eid2512.181193

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资金

  1. Agence Francaise de Developpement (ECOMORE Project)
  2. Investissement d'Avenir program
  3. Laboratoire d'Excellence Integrative Biology of Emerging Infectious Diseases program [ANR-10-LABX-62-IBEID]
  4. Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study of the National Institute of General Medical Sciences
  5. AXA Research Fund

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In Cambodia, dengue outbreaks occur each rainy season (May-October) but vary in magnitude. Using national surveillance data, we designed a tool that can predict 90% of the variance in peak magnitude by April, when typically <10% of dengue cases have been reported. This prediction may help hospitals anticipate excess patients.

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