期刊
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
卷 547, 期 -, 页码 365-374出版社
ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.02.001
关键词
Flood; Frequency analysis; Partial duration series; Peaks over threshold; Annual maximum series; Threshold selection
资金
- Lincoln University
This study addresses technical questions concerning the use of the partial duration series (PDS) within the domain of flood frequency analysis. The recurring questions which often prevent the standardised use of the PDS are peak independence and threshold selection. This paper explores standardised approaches to peak and threshold selection to produce PDS samples with differing average annual exceedances, using six theoretical probability distributions. The availability of historical annual maximum (AMS) data (1930-1966) in addition to systemic AMS data (1967-2015) enables a unique comparison between the performance of the PDS sample and the systemic AMS sample. A recently derived formula for the translation of the PDS into the annual domain, simplifying the use of the PDS, is utilised in an applied case study for the first time. Overall, the study shows that PDS sampling returns flood magnitudes similar to those produced by AMS series utilising historical data and thus the use of the PDS should be preferred in cases where historical flood data is unavailable. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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