期刊
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY
卷 54, 期 6, 页码 2063-2068出版社
WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.12887
关键词
adaptive management; conservation; decision theory; epidemiology; harvesting; management strategy evaluation; modelling; pest management; structured decision-making; value of information
资金
- EEID program of the NSF/NIH [1 R01 GM105247-01]
- NSF RAPID program [DEB-1514704]
- Division Of Environmental Biology
- Direct For Biological Sciences [1514704] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
1. Applied ecologists often face uncertainty that hinders effective decision-making. 2. Common traps that may catch the unwary are: ignoring uncertainty, acknowledging uncertainty but ploughing on, focussing on trivial uncertainties, believing your models, and unclear objectives. 3. We integrate research insights and examples from a wide range of applied ecological fields to illustrate advances that are generally underused, but could facilitate ecologists' ability to plan and execute research to support management. 4. Recommended approaches to avoid uncertainty traps are: embracing models, using decision theory, using models more effectively, thinking experimentally, and being realistic about uncertainty. 5. Synthesis and applications. Applied ecologists can become more effective at informing management by using approaches that explicitly take account of uncertainty.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据