The Progression of Alzheimer's Disease: Are Fast Decliners Really Fast? A Four-Year Follow-Up

Background: The rate of cognitive and functional decline in Alzheimer's disease (AD) changes across individuals. Objectives: Our purpose was to assess whether the concept of fast decline really fits its definition and whether cognitive and functional variables at onset can predict the progression of AD. Methods: 324 AD patients were included. We retrospectively examined their Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) total score and sub-items, Activities of Daily Living (ADL), and Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) at baseline and every six months for a 4-year follow-up. Patients were divided into fast decliners (n = 62), defined by a loss >= 5 points on the MMSE score within the first year from the baseline; intermediate decliners (n = 37), by a loss >= 5 points after the first year and before the 18th month; or slow decliners (n = 225), composed of the remaining patients. Results: At baseline, the groups did not differ on demographic, clinical, and cognitive variables. The decline at the end of the 4-year follow-up period seems to be similar among the different decline clusters. Predictors of disease progression have not been identified; only the MMSE total score at 12 months < 14/30 was indicative of a poor prognosis. Conclusions: Even with the limitation due to the small sample size, the lack of differences in the disease progression in time in the different clusters suggest the inconsistency of the so-called fast decliners. This study was unable to show any significant difference among clusters of AD progression within a 4-year time interval. Further studies should better clarify whether a more consistent distinction exists between slow and fast decliners.