期刊
ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS
卷 76, 期 4, 页码 665-670出版社
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s10640-020-00439-8
关键词
COVID-19; Vaccination stockpile; SIS; Stochastic disease
Vaccination is an effective measure to control the diffusion of infectious disease such as COVID-19. This paper analyzes the basic reproduction number in South Korea which enables us to identify a necessary level of vaccine stockpile to achieve herd immunity. An susceptible-infected-susceptible model is adopted that allows a stochastic diffusion. The result shows that the basic reproduction number of South Korea is approximately 2 which is substantially lower than those of the other regions. The herd immunity calculated from economic-epidemiological model suggests that at least 62% of the susceptible population be vaccinated when COVID-19 vaccine becomes available.
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