4.7 Letter

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Transmission Potential, Iran, 2020

期刊

EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES
卷 26, 期 8, 页码 1915-1917

出版社

CENTERS DISEASE CONTROL & PREVENTION
DOI: 10.3201/eid2608.200536

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资金

  1. NSF as part of the joint NSF-NIH-USDA Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Diseases program [1414374]
  2. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) [19IPA1908208]
  3. CDC

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To determine the transmission potential of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in Iran in 2020, we estimated the reproduction number as 4.4 (95% CI 3.9-4.9) by using a generalized growth model and 3.5 (95% CI 1.3-8.1) by using epidemic doubling time. The reproduction number decreased to 1.55 after social distancing interventions were implemented.

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