期刊
CHINA ECONOMIC REVIEW
卷 63, 期 -, 页码 -出版社
ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2019.02.007
关键词
Economic policy uncertainty; Financial decisions; Asset reversibility
类别
资金
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [71873131]
This paper designs a quasi-natural experiment for the identification of causal relationships between economic policy uncertainty and firms' investment-financing decisions using China's supply-side structural reform in 2015. We construct measures of asset reversibility across industries using China's national input-output flow table and match them with nonfinancial firms listed in China's A-share stock market from 2013 to 2017. We then use the difference-in-difference estimation strategy to investigate two-dimensional variations in periods (i.e., before and after 2015) and asset reversibility (i.e., high- and low-reversibility industries). The empirical results show that economic policy uncertainty significantly impedes real investment and reduces net debt issuance for private firms, whereas no such effects exist in state-owned firms. Interestingly, however, economic policy uncertainty has no significant impact on firms' cash-holding decisions.
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