PV-Load Decoupling Based Demand Response Baseline Load Estimation Approach for Residential Customer With Distributed PV System

Customer baseline load (CBL) estimation is very important in demand response (DR) program. Due to the increasing installation of distributed photovoltaic system (DPVS), the load patterns of residential customers become more complex and random. The actual load power of the customer is coupled with the DPVS output power, which makes it more difficult to estimate CBL. Since the electricity meter can only measure the net load data, this article proposes a PV-load decoupling approach to improve the CBL estimation accuracy in the presence of DPVS. CBL is the difference between actual load power and DPVS output power, so the CBL estimate is converted into two sub-problems: the estimation of actual load power and the estimation of DPVS output power. First, the actual load power of DR customers is estimated based on the load power of the control group customers. Then, the DPVS output during DR period is obtained based on the DPVS output estimation model. Finally, CBL is estimated based on the actual load power and DPVS output power. In order to verify the effectiveness and feasibility of the approach, two real datasets from Sydney and Austin are used to simulate the CBL estimation. Compared with the net load directly estimating the CBL, the comparison results indicate that the proposed method shows better accuracy performance.