期刊
REVIEW OF PACIFIC BASIN FINANCIAL MARKETS AND POLICIES
卷 23, 期 4, 页码 -出版社
WORLD SCIENTIFIC PUBL CO PTE LTD
DOI: 10.1142/S0219091520500307
关键词
Volatile exchange rate; commodity-wise data; ARDL approach; Pakistan; China
This study intends to explore the impact of oscillations in the exchange rate on commodity-wise trade flows between Pakistan and its major trading partner China, while employing the annual data for 1982-2017. Applying the ARDL bounds testing approach, this study confirms that 94% of the selected exporting and 86% of the chosen importing industries possess cointegration. Further, the findings reveal that 81%, in the short run, and 52%, in the long run, of exporting industries respond to the volatile exchange rate. Moreover, the volatility affects 77%, in the short run, while 65%, in the long term, of the importing industries. Fascinatingly, the findings also indicate that a major shareholder exporting industry coded as 651 (Textile yarn and thread with 57% share) gets benefitted from the volatile exchange rate.
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