Health system collapse 45 days after the detection of COVID-19 in Ceara, Northeast Brazil: a preliminary analysis

Introduction: COVID-19 emerged in late 2019 and quickly became a serious public health problem worldwide. This study aim to describe the epidemiological course of cases and deaths due to COVID-19 and their impact on hospital bed occupancy rates in the first 45 days of the epidemic in the state of Ceara, Northeastern Brazil. Methods: The study used an ecological design with data gathered from multiple government and health care sources. Data were analyzed using Epi Info software. Results: The first cases were confirmed on March 15, 2020. After 45 days, 37,268 cases reported in 85.9% of Ceara's municipalities, with 1,019 deaths. Laboratory test positivity reached 84.8% at the end of April, a period in which more than 700 daily tests were processed. The average age of cases was 67 (<1 - 101) years, most occurred in a hospital environment (91.9%), and 58% required hospitalization in an ICU bed. The average time between the onset of symptoms and death was 18 (1 - 56) days. Patients who died in the hospital had spent an average of six (0 - 40) days hospitalized. Across Ceara, the bed occupancy rate reached 71.3% in the wards and 80.5% in the ICU. Conclusions: The first 45 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ceara revealed a large number of cases and deaths, spreading initially among the population with a high socioeconomic status. Despite the efforts by the health services and social isolation measures the health system still collapsed.