期刊
ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE
卷 77, 期 7-8, 页码 3168-3182出版社
OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/fsaa226
关键词
long-term projection; open-sea fish farming; RCP 8.5; suitability index; wave energy; wind energy
资金
- Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq) [249929/2013-9]
- Universidad de Cantabria [POS-UC-2019-06]
- Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities [RYC-2017-23260]
- Ramon y Cajal Program [RYC-2014-6469]
- Fundacion Biodiversidad (Spanish Ministry of Environment, ACUFLOT 2020_FB_PLEAMAR project)
- Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs (EUROPEAN COMMISSION) through the Framework Partnership Agreement on Copernicus User Uptake (MEDAQUA project) [2020-2-4]
- European Union project ECLISEA (ERA4CS) [690462]
The development of the marine renewable energy and offshore aquaculture sectors is susceptible to being affected by climate change. Consequently, for the long-term planning of these activities, a holistic view on the effects of climate change on energy resources and environmental conditions is required. Based on present climate and future climate scenario, favourable conditions for wind and wave energy exploitation and for farming six marine fish species are assessed using a suitability index over all European regional seas. Regarding available energy potential, the estimated changes in climate do not have direct impacts on the geographic distribution of potential regions for the energy industry (both wind and wave based), that is they pose no threat to this industry. Long-term changes in environmental conditions could however require adaptation of the aquaculture sector and especially of its exploitation areas. Opportunities for aquaculture expansion of the assessed species are identified. Possibilities for co-location of these activities are observed in the different climate scenarios. The evaluation of potential zones for the exploitation of marine renewable energy resources and offshore aquaculture represents a stepping-stone, useful for improving decision-making and assisting in the management of marine economies both in the short-term and in the long-term development of these sectors.
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