期刊
TOURISM ECONOMICS
卷 27, 期 5, 页码 1157-1165出版社
SAGE PUBLICATIONS LTD
DOI: 10.1177/1354816620913372
关键词
ARDL model; economic risk; political risk; tourist arrivals; wavelets
资金
- Business, Society & Environment (BSE) Research Lab, Prince Sultan University, Saudi Arabia
This study found that political risk has a significant impact on tourist arrivals in Tunisia in the short and medium terms, while economic risk is more pronounced in the long term. It is important for governments to prioritize security and tourism safety to prevent long-term hindrance to economic growth.
This article assesses the effect of the political risk and economic instability on the tourist arrivals in Tunisia using various wavelet methods. Our findings reveal a substantial effect of political risk over the short and medium terms, while the risk of economic effect is more perceptible over the long run. These outcomes are robust when using standard time series modeling. Terrorist incidents and political uneasiness increase the perception of risk and affect the tourism inflows over the short run. Governments are invited to indorse security and tourism safety because if not, the tourism demand will impede the economic growth over the long run.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据