4.4 Article

Trade, structural transformation and growth

期刊

WORLD ECONOMY
卷 44, 期 6, 页码 1770-1794

出版社

WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/twec.13043

关键词

growth; international trade; structural transformation

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This paper analyzes the impact of opening to international trade on structural transformation and output growth in a small economy with agricultural and non-agricultural sectors. The simulation result suggests that the model-generated growth magnitude is comparable to the 'growth miracles' experienced in newly industrialized economies, with trade policies, relative productivity between agriculture and non-agriculture, and the persistence of structural transformation process jointly affecting post-opening growth dynamics.
This paper analyses a simple model of a small economy with agricultural and non-agricultural sectors to study how opening to international trade affects structural transformation and output growth. In particular, we ask whether effects from accelerated structural transformation after opening to trade is large enough to account for the explosive growth patterns observed in newly industrialised economies. A simulation result suggests that the model-generated magnitude of growth is comparable to 'growth miracles' experienced in newly industrialised economies. Trade policies, relative productivity between agriculture and non-agriculture, and the persistence of structural transformation process jointly affect the growth dynamics after opening.

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